A frantically-written and poorly-proofed kitchen cabinet of politics, technology, and language.

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Inspired by an excellent series of panels and events organized by Women in Toronto Politics (creep them at @WiTOpoli or their network at #WiTOpoli) and my own work contributing to the Academy of the Impossible’s Campaign School series (creep us at @impossibledotws or #CampaignSchool), I have spent a good measure of the past few weeks thinking about the shape of pushes to attract and engage women in the political process.

These attempts are not limited to encouraging women to seek political office but extend to a variety of other forms of participation ranging from activism and community-organizing to journalism and agenda-setting.

There have been several excellent recaps of the core themes discussed at each of the WiTOpoli events held so far, and they come highly recommended. What follows are a few supplemental concepts that I’d submit as relevant moving forward.

AVOID UNDERSTATING GENDER

There is a myth of systemic parity in matters of gender that seems to be attracting less scrutiny than ever before. It is unclear whether the intention is decidedly sinister, perhaps instead driven by a combination of impatient optimism and an attempt to highlight the contribution of trailblazers that have inarguably shattered walls and ceilings for women in many facets of life.

Regardless of the motives involved, people are increasingly going to argue that we are living in the 21st century and women have all the same opportunities that men do to participate in any political activity they desire.

That is simply not true. Don’t let them get away with it.

AVOID OVERSTATING GENDER

Women can transform politics. They can make Council more conciliatory. They can make compelling cases for “women’s issues” like childcare and education.

They can do all these things, sure. But women also have every right to treat the political process with the same level of contempt and paranoia as the current political establishment does. It is not womankind’s job to transform politics, solve perpetual conflict, or nurture western society though adolescence.  

WOMEN ARE NOT ALL THE SAME

Without a doubt, eye-rolls-per-minute peak whenever anyone tries to make a general statement about what women think/feel/know/bring. Being clear that women are individuals with different and conflicting concerns and approaches encourages engagement efforts to radiate evenly across age, geography, socioeconomic status, and ethnic/religious identification.

The simple act of starting sentences with “A woman could…” instead of “Women can…” has been anecdotally shown to lower a room’s EPM by up to 86%.

KEEP PARTISANSHIP OUT OF IT

During the first WiTOpoli panel, an exchange arose ending in a statement somewhere along the lines of “What if we end up with a bunch of Nunziatas?”

The question prompted chuckles, but perhaps shouldn’t have. I want my niece or a co-worker to feel comfortable running for office regardless of her politics or approach. It is perfectly reasonable for ideology to inform debates about gender and vice versa, but that discussion shouldn’t take place at the front door.

HOW DO WE MEASURE SUCCESS?

This point is contentious, and arguments are made for both tangible and intangible metrics.

Some say it should be measured by gender parity among elected officials; others prefer parity among initial candidates. Some suggest that success should be measured in the financial infrastructure that women have access to; others in perceptions of the internal and external stigmas surrounding them.

The obvious conclusion is that everyone examines what constitutes success through different lenses and, for the sake of making headway though the widest range of channels possible, the celebration of different parties’ pets and passions should probably be encouraged.

WHAT ARE MEN TO DO?

It is likely lost on no one that this post is being written by a man (a SWM at that), and I think it is worthwhile to be clear about the level of humility with which many of us venture a contribution to this discussion.

So what were all the dudes in the audience thinking about WiTOpoli?

No idea. Feel free to ask them. If pressed, I’d venture that we wanted to learn, interact, and show commitment to a process that we feel connected to.

We weren’t there because we thought our presence legitimized or enabled anything. We were there because we’re as tired of dealing with dim, shallow patriarchs as anyone else.

So.      ….what’s next?

Love how CNN’s Ashleigh Banfield goes after Obama For America Campaign National Press Secretary Ben LaBolt here. 

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A couple interesting things happened in the US last night, with a range of presidential primaries, senatorial primaries and ballot measures taking place in several states.

A couple notes:

NORTH CAROLINA

You have no doubt heard about the passage of North Carolina’s constitutional amendment solidifying the state’s stance against gay relationships. What is significant about the measure is that same-sex marriage was actually already illegal in the state, and what voters enshrined into the State’s constitution was much more significant.

The language of the bill not only goes further than marriage, banning same-sex civil unions, but also changes the way that the State recognizes a range of existing heterosexual domestic partnerships including those affected by child custody agreements, domestic violence, and other similar conditions.

But don’t be too hard on North Carolinians; if anything they were late to the party. North Carolina was actually the only Southern state remaining to not have a constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriage on the books. It becomes the 30th US State with a similar provision in its constitution, compared with six states (and DC) where gay marriage is currently legal.

INDIANA

36 years as a US Senator wasn’t enough to save Dick Lugar from the wrath of the Tea Party. Yes, that still exists. Senator Lugar was defeated in his Republican primary last night by state treasurer Richard Mourdock, meaning that if he wants to run to keep his Senate seat in November, he will have to do so as an independent candidate. Lugar was such an institution in his home state that Democrats stopped running candidates against him; in 2006, he was re-elected with 87% of the vote.

Mr. Mourdock’s victory, funded in large part by the National Rifle Association and Dick Armey’s Tea Party group Freedom Works, is the most recent in a wave of very conservative challengers overtaking more moderate Republican incumbents across the country. Think Rick Scott in Florida or Christine O’Donnell in Delaware. Regardless of who Democrats put up in November, the dynamics of this Senate race will be fascinating to follow.

WISCONSIN

Wisconsin’s Republican Governor Scott Walker has become a national figure over the past year after starting a very public crusade against collective bargaining in his state upon assuming office in 2010. Earlier this year, labour unions and Democrats managed to collect enough signatures to force a vote to recall the Governor from office and, yesterday, they picked their candidate to run against him.

Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barret finally got the call after a crowded and contentious nomination process that seems to have stripped a significant amount of momentum from the recall effort. Despite very low approval ratings for the incumbent, most still consider this a toss-up with about a month left to go. The national attention that Walker’ policies have attracted has in many ways turned this race into a national proxy for the fall, so expect lots of out-of-state cash here.

Visual Researcher’s Note: The person pictured above is a different Scott Walker, it was just too cool an image not to include.

Further Visual Researcher’s Note: Also, no, that is not Beck.

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Over at Breitbart.com, Ben Shapiro argues that President Obama violated equal-time provisions in US campaign finance law when he appeared in a popular “Slow-Jam the News” segment on Late Night with Jimmy Fallon Tuesday.

The President appeared on the program as part of a week-long college tour designed to drum up support for a vote to extend current student loan rates at 3.4%. Otherwise, the rates would be set to double over the summer.

Republican House Speaker John Boehner has called a vote for Friday, and has structured language to have the cost of the extension covered from Obama’s infamous Affordable Care Act.

In his post, Shapiro argues that because the segment does not fit into one of the four exceptions of equal-time provisions for broadcasters (a bona fide newscast, a bona fide news interview, a bona fide news documentary, on-the-spot coverage of bona fide news events), NBC should face fines from the Federal Communications Commission and “Mitt Romney should be given equal time, and an equally sycophantic propaganda piece by Fallon.”

I am in many ways sympathetic to the argument that the actual SJTN segment, taken in isolation from the “bona fine news interview” that preceded it, falls outside of these exceptions. Unfortunately for Shapiro, precedent suggests that the FCC would not weigh in on this, and if they did, would conclude that no rules were broken. It it disingenuous for Shapiro to interpret the wording of the provisions without considering their prior applicability.  

What irked me most about his reporting however, was the inclusion of any mention of Mitt Romney. Remember, Mitt Romney is only a stated candidate for the Presidency of the United States and has not yet earned the nomination of the party through which he filed.

Under Shapiro’s logic, these are the a list of people who should also be allowed to slow jam with Jimmy in the coming days:

  • Ron Paul (Candidate, Republican Party)
  • Darcy Richardson (Candidate, Democratic Party)
  • Jim Rogers (Candidate, Democratic Party)
  • Randall Terry (Candidate, Democratic Party)
  • John Wolfe, Jr. (Candidate, Democratic Party)
  • Rocky Anderson (Candidate, Americans Elect / Justice Party)
  • Laurence Kotlikoff (Candidate, Americans Elect)
  • Buddy Roemer (Candidate, Americans Elect / Reform Party USA)
  • Merlin Miller (Candidate, American Third Position Party)
  • Tom Hoefling (Nominee, America’s Party)
  • Jim Duensing (Nominee, Boston Tea Party)
  • Virgil Goode (Nominee, Constitution Party)
  • Stephen Durham (Nominee, Freedom Socialist Party)
  • Roseanne Barr (Candidate, Green Party)
  • Kent Mesplay (Candidate, Green Party)
  • Gary Johnson (Candidate, Libertarian Party)
  • Carl Person (Candidate, Libertarian Party)
  • Sam Sloan (Candidate, Libertarian Party)
  • Bill Still (Candidate, Libertarian Party)
  • R. Lee Wrights (Candidate, Libertarian Party)
  • Tom Stevens (Nominee, Objectivist Party)
  • Peta Lindsay (Nominee, Party for Socialism and Liberation)
  • Jack Fellure (Nominee, Prohibition Party)
  • Andre Barnett (Nominee, Reform Party USA)
  • Jerry White (Nominee, Socialist Equality Party)
  • Stewart Alexander (Nominee, Socialist Party USA)
  • Lee Abramson (Candidate, Independent)
  • Randy Blythe (Candidate, Independent)
  • Robert “Naked Cowboy” Burck (Candidate, Independent)
  • Terry Jones (Candidate, Independent)
  • Joe Schriner (Candidate, Independent)

So, no.

As a good complement to the premiere episode of Academy of the Impossible’s Campaign School podcast, watch Chuck Todd preview state-by-state Electoral College scenarios for the 2012 Presidential Election. 

ARIZONA: WHERE LIFE BEGINS BEFORE …IT EXISTS

Arizona has become a magnet for controversial, often bizarre legislation under first-term Republican Governor Jan Brewer. The trend gelled after the introduction of SB-1070 (more commonly cited as Arizona’s “Papers Please” law), a bill which made it a misdemeanor for an illegal alien to be in the state without identification.

The law not only forced police into the awkward position of employing systematic racial profiling in their daily processes, but also made it a detainable offense for any pseudo-latin-looking person to interact with police without being able to prove their citizenship on the spot.

This week, after page eight of the innocuous-sounding HB-2036 passed the State legislature, Arizona is in the spotlight once again.

Of particular note in the above clip from MSNBC’s Now with Alex Wagner is the scrumptiously dry outrage of Patricia Murphy and former RNC Chair Michael Steele using the phrase “vaginal outcomes.”

To be clear, the discussion in the clip is not complete. The bill is technically correct to define gestation as beginning at “egg drop;” indeed medical professionals already use this timetable to define the length of a pregnancy.

What is different about this particular piece of legislation is that it shifts away from a conception trigger to a gestation trigger which, when combined with pseudo-scientific findings that fetuses “feel pain” after 20 weeks, allows lawmakers to chip the legal window for an abortion to a startling 18 weeks.

Yikes.

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This week, prolific Democratic strategist Hilary Rosen came under fire for comments she made on Anderson Cooper’s CNN program about Mitt Romney’s wife Ann. Rosen suggested that Mrs. Romney could not be in touch with the economic struggles of women based on the fact that she had spent her adult life as a stay-at-home mother, and had therefore “never worked a day in her life.”

The comments were (rightly) controversial, setting off a firestorm on Twitter and other politico-heavy forums. In fact, at one point yesterday, Ann Romney was even out-trending both President Obama and Justin Bieber on the network.

I think many would be willing to chalk this up to a verbal gaffe rather than a silly opinion; Mrs. Rosen has been a good asset to Democrats on issues affecting women in the past. Rosen did however not help herself by publishing a rather scrappy post on HuffPo shortly after the comments went viral.  

One thing that was remarkable, however, was Rosen’s eventual apology.

This is what public (non)apologies in the media almost always look like: “I regret making those remarks and apologize to anyone who may have been offended.”

This was Mrs. Rosen’s apology: “I apologize to Ann Romney and anyone else who was offended.”

Big difference. Good on Rosen.

The Romney campaign even got a nice perk out of the brouhaha: Ann Romney signed up for a Twitter account in order to get in on the fun. Her handle now has over 30 000 followers, and stands to be a valuable asset moving forward.

HuffPo’s Sam Stein elicits an *epic* awkward pause on Romney conference call.

The gaffe shouldn’t be read as any indication of whether Romney supports or opposes the law, which promotes gender-based pay equity and was the first bill Obama passed as President. The staffer clearly did not know Mr. Romney’s position on the bill, and was right not to hazard one.

A fair critique, however, is that with a massive and public gender gap (ABC/WaPo has Obama up by 20 points among female voters) haunting the Romney campaign, there is no excuse not to have been prepared for that question.

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Credit: Washington Post

Super Tuesday, giving ten states their say in this year’s Republican Party Presidential nomination process, goes tonight. Primaries are being held in Ohio, Georgia, Massachusetts, Vermont, Virginia, Oklahoma and Tennessee, and caucuses in Idaho, North Dakota and Alaska.

Ohio and Tennessee are likely the only contests up for grabs this evening, so I will skip the predictions/presumptions model and pick a winner in each state. Also, stay tuned for a post on (spoiler alert!) what Mitt Romney will have to do to have a change in November.

OHIO: Romney by 3 or 4 points.

GEORGIA: Gingrich easily carries home state.

MASSACHUSETTS: Romney carries home state, garnering 60%+.

VERMONT: Romney easily.

VIRGINIA: Only Romney and Paul on ballot here, Romney over 60%.

OKLAHOMA: Romney squeaks past Santorum. Within a point or two.

TENNESSEE: Only true three-way race. If both Gingrich and Santorum are up above 30%, Romney wins. Santorum could take state if enough Gingrich supporters defect late.

IDAHO: Meh. Romney.

NORTH DAKOTA: Meh. Romney.

ALASKA: Meh. Ron Paul has a good shot.

Kansas, Mississippi, Hawaii, and Alabama all go next week.

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Big night tonight for both Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum as the Republican Presidential race sweeps though the Great Lake State.

FIRST, THE PREDICTIONS:

Romney 39

Santorum 35

Paul 16 

Gingrich 10 

SECOND, THE PRESUMPTIONS:

Michigan is a funny state, and another where members of any party can vote in a primary.

Santorum’s campaign is now running robocalls urging Democrats to vote for him in order to “send a message to Romney,” although they have so far declined to quantify what “message” that would represent. If the argument is that Dems think they would have a harder time running against Romney in a general election, it seems a pretty cynical plea. I would be surprised if the dynamic had a huge impact on tonight’s result.

Both candidates have not had great weeks, succumbing to gaffes that feed existing narratives about their candidacies.

Romney followed up an odd description of his connection to Michigan’s natural beauty with an everyman-pilgrimage to Daytona. There, he deflected his casual NASCAR fandom by citing friendships with several team owners (*communicatons director’s head explodes*). Perhaps more striking was his attempt to downplay his wife’s multiple Cadillacs by implying that she needed one for each of their homes. Not too on message for a candidate struggling to wave down from the penthouse.

These kinds of statements, retaining cohesion with previous remarks about firing people, corporate personhood, and “illegals,” are indicative of a candidate who has difficulty integrating coms advice into his stump. In a primary this is an inconvenience. In a general election, a liability.

More substantively, Romney’s well publicized opposition to the auto bailout has given him trouble among Wolverines. Most agree that the policy succeeded in minimizing damage to a core American industry, and polling shows strong support for the Bush-backed bailout even among Michigan Republicans. Unfortunately for Romney, a sensitivity towards accusations of flip-flopping made it unwise to temper his position when prompted.

Santorum, who has worked a good mixture of blue-collar, manufacturing-centric populism and passionate social conservatism in previous states, entered Michigan in surprising condition. Fresh from good showings in a few Midwest beauty-contests and swallowing receding support for Romney and Gingrich, Santorum actually looked like a good bet in Michigan over the last two weeks.

He too would suffer from several verbal lapses however, including repeatedly highlighting a startling stance on birth control, bringing way too much process-related jargon into the Arizona Debate, and suggesting that striving for post-secondary education for your child was “snob[ish].” Eek.

All in all, it looks to be a tough evening for both frontrunners: Romney would have to win by 6 or 7 points to declare any sort of victory in a state he should have carried by 15+. Unfortunately for his campaign, he seems unlikely to do so.

As for Santorum, the optics are still not good. The two-week gap between previous contests and this Michigan Primary artificially broadened his momentum, making a finish above 35% (which is theoretically a superb result for him in Michigan) seem disappointing so long as Romney finishes ahead of him. If Santorum squeaks out a victory, however, his coms team has more to run with than Romney’s. 

As for the second tier candidates, Gingrich has carved his niche as the only true neo-conservative left standing and maintains reasonable support from hawkish primary voters.

In Ron Paul’s case, I could literally copy and paste this from any previous post: The man polls at 15% among virtually any group any place any time. Michigan, with a good number of moderate pacifists and anti-corporatists, gives him a good base.

It should be noted that Arizona also votes today, though since no candidates other than Romney are competing there (large Mormon population) it didn’t need all that much dissection. Prediction would be Romney 44, Santorum 27, Gingrich 15, Paul 14.

Super Tuesday goes March 6, featuring caucuses in Alaska, Idaho and North Dakota, and primaries in Georgia, Massachusetts, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Vermont, and Virginia. Fun!